Thwack: The Invisible Violence of the Investor Maybe

Thwack: The Invisible Violence of the Investor Maybe

The clarity of impact versus the poison of polite indecision.

My nose is currently the size of a small, angry plum. I walked into a glass door this morning-one of those floor-to-ceiling sheets of architectural hubris that are so clean they cease to exist. There was no warning. One second I was walking toward the sunlight, and the next, I was flat on the floor, the sound of my own skull vibrating against safety glass ringing in my ears. It was a binary event. The glass was either open or shut, and it was definitively shut. It hurt, but the clarity was immediate. I knew exactly where I stood: on the floor, bleeding slightly, with a very clear understanding that I would not be entering that building through that specific meridian.

I mention this because, as I sit here nursing a bag of frozen peas against my face, I’m watching a founder friend of mine, Sarah, spend exactly 76 minutes crafting a single update email. She’s writing to an investor who, 6 months ago, told her: “It’s a little early for us, but you’re building something special. Keep us in the loop!” Sarah has been in the loop. She has been the loop. She has lived in this purgatory of “maybe” for half a year, and it is doing more damage to her company than a direct “no” ever could. The glass door I hit was honest. The “maybe” Sarah is dealing with is a mirage that looks like an open path but is actually a reinforced barrier that never lets you through.

We are obsessed with being polite. In the venture world, this politeness has mutated into a terminal condition. An investor doesn’t want to say no because they are terrified of the 16 percent chance that you might actually be the next unicorn and they’ll look like the fool who passed on the ground floor. So, they give you a soft pass. They give you the “maybe.” They tell you to keep them updated on your progress, which is essentially asking you to do free labor for their future optionality. They want the right to say yes later without the commitment of saying anything meaningful now.

The Sound of Indecision

Sarah’s email is a masterpiece of desperation and forced optimism. She’s detailing her latest 46 percent growth in user retention, her new hires, and her refined roadmap. She thinks she’s building a relationship. In reality, she’s shouting into a void that only echoes when the market turns. This is the great lie of the “keep us in the loop” crowd: they aren’t waiting for more data; they are waiting for more certainty. And by the time you have the certainty they require, you won’t need their money, or at the very least, you’ll have 106 other people clamoring to give you better terms.

I think about Jasper K.L. sometimes. Jasper is a foley artist I met a few years back while working on a short film that never went anywhere. He was a man obsessed with the literal sound of truth. He once spent 36 hours trying to record the sound of a “hesitant checkbook.” He eventually got it by rubbing a piece of vintage leather against a damp sponge. To Jasper, a “maybe” had a specific sound-a wet, sucking thud that lacked the resonance of a real decision. He told me once that the hardest sound to recreate wasn’t an explosion or a gunshot, but the sound of a person who is trying to say no without moving their lips. It’s a sound of friction without movement.

The Cost of The Loop (Metrics)

56

Interested Investors

Anchor

Resource Drain

Full Pipeline

30%

Maybe Pipeline

70%

Founders think a “maybe” is a lead. It’s not. A lead is someone who is moving through a process with a timeline. A “maybe” is a anchor. If you have a pipeline full of 56 investors who are “really interested” but won’t commit to a second meeting or a term sheet, you don’t have a full pipeline; you have a graveyard of indecision. You are wasting your most finite resource-time-on people who are biologically incapable of delivering the one thing you need: a verdict.

Forcing the Binary

🔀

This is where we have to talk about the social cowardice that fuels the fundraising cycle. We’ve built a system where saying “no” is viewed as a personal failure or a social gaffe. But a “no” is a gift. A “no” allows you to stop. It allows you to pivot. It allows you to cross that name off your list and never spend another 76 minutes thinking about how to phrase a subject line for them. The “maybe” keeps you hooked. It’s a micro-dose of hope that prevents you from seeking the truth elsewhere.

– The Wisdom of Finality

I’ve made this mistake myself. Not just with glass doors. I once spent 26 weeks chasing a partnership that was “96 percent there.” I ignored other opportunities because I didn’t want to jeopardize the big one. I kept the loop going. I sent the updates. I did the extra demos. At the end of it, they didn’t even say no; they just stopped responding. The silence was the eventual answer, but I had paid for that silence with half a year of my life. If they had just hit me in the face with a glass door in week one, I could have spent the next 25 weeks building something that actually mattered.

[The “Maybe” is a slow poison disguised as a vitamin.]

To break this cycle, you have to force the binary. You have to be willing to break the glass. This means creating a structured process that doesn’t allow for the “loop” to exist. You set the timeline. You create the urgency. You don’t ask for feedback; you ask for a decision. When an investor says, “Keep us in the loop,” your response shouldn’t be “Will do!” It should be, “I’d love to, but we’re moving quickly and I need to prioritize the firms that are ready to engage now. Is there a specific milestone you need to see before you can make a clear yes/no decision, or should we just touch base during our next round?”

It sounds aggressive. It feels like you’re closing doors. But you’re not closing doors; you’re just acknowledging that the door was never open to begin with. You are removing the mirage. This is the philosophy behind a truly professional approach to market engagement. Companies like investor matching service understand this visceral need for a process that actually produces results rather than just busywork. If you don’t control the rhythm of the conversation, the “maybe” will consume you. It will eat your 16-hour workdays and leave you with nothing but a high-quality PDF of updates that nobody read.

The Sound of Decision

Clear “NO”

Snap

Percussive, Final

VS

“Maybe”

Hum

Low Frequency Vibration

The Final Impact

‘); background-repeat: repeat-x; background-size: 100% 100%; transform: translateY(25%);”>

When I walked into that glass door, the impact was 1006 times more honest than any polite rejection I’ve ever received. My face hurts, sure. I have a 6 percent chance of needing a minor procedure on my septum. But I’m not standing in front of that glass anymore wondering if I can get through. I’ve moved on. I’ve found a different entrance. I’m already in the building, even if I’m holding a bloody tissue to my face.

Building on Truth

No “Maybe” Allowed

SOLID GROUND IS WHERE PROGRESS STARTS

Founders, you have to stop being afraid of the impact. You have to stop fearing the “no.” The “no” is the ground beneath your feet. It is solid. You can build on it. You can’t build on a “maybe.” You can’t hire employees on a “maybe.” You can’t scale your infrastructure on a “maybe.” The terminal politeness of the venture world is a tax on your sanity that you shouldn’t be willing to pay.

Commitment vs. Observation

Decide

Force the binary next step.

🕰️

Wait

Volunteer your time for free.

🏃

Move On

The next entrance awaits.

I look at Sarah now. She’s finally hitting “send” on that update. She looks exhausted. She’s spent her morning doing the digital equivalent of polishing a glass door that she’s never going to walk through. If I could, I’d reach over and delete the draft. I’d tell her to go find the person who will look her in the eye and tell her she’s wrong, or tell her she’s crazy, or tell her she’s not the right fit. Because that person is actually participating in her journey. The person who says “maybe” is just watching her from the sidelines, waiting to see if she survives the collision.

Don’t wait for them to decide. Decide for them. If they can’t give you a clear next step within 6 days, they aren’t in your pipeline; they are in your way. Move. Pivot. Break the glass if you have to, but don’t just stand there staring at the reflection of a success that hasn’t happened yet. The bruises heal. The wasted time never comes back. I’d take a broken nose over a year of “keeping them in the loop” any day of the week. At least I know I’m alive when it hurts. The “maybe” is just a slow, polite death by 1006 papercuts.

The impact is the cost of entry. Choose the pain that moves you forward.